Prediction intervals and regions for multivariate time series models with sieve bootstrap
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.19195/0208-4147.38.2.5Słowa kluczowe:
Multivariate time series models, vector of time series, sieve bootstrap, prediction regions, simultaneous prediction intervalsAbstrakt
In the paper, the construction of unconditional bootstrap prediction intervals and regions for some class of second order stationary multivariate linear time series models is considered. Our approach uses the sieve bootstrap procedure introduced by Kreiss 1992 and Bühlmann 1997. Basic theoretical results concerning consistency of the bootstrap replications and the bootstrap prediction regions are proved. We present a simulation study comparing the proposed bootstrap methods with the Box–Jenkins approach.
